Wednesday, March 30, 2011

A Supplement To My Previous Post

As was pointed out by a few commentators, in my previous post I seem to have been unclear in the matter of overall costs for the F-35 jets. I re-watched the interview with Laurie Hawn that I mentioned earlier. To be frank, even after a second viewing I'm not sure I completely understand what he was saying. Here's how I interpret his assertions after that second viewing:

Total Program Cost -$9 billion.
Total Units to be acquired - 65
Per Unit Acquisition Cost of the F-35 - $75 million

Using those figures for my crude calculations suggests a total alleged purchase price of under $5 billion. I therefore can only assume that when he says total program cost, he is including maintenance costs for the plane, acquisition of infrastructure to fuel the planes, since, for example, mid-flight refuelling is not possible using our current equipment, etc.

In any event, please judge for yourself. I probably should have included the link to the Hawn interview which immediately preceded the GAO interview. Nonetheless, I was struck by Hawn's insistence that each plane will only cost $75 million when there seems to be strong evidence to the contrary, as confirmed in the followup with the GAO. As well, his insistence that they will be buying the plane after initial costs come down is refuted by Sullivan. Production of the F-35s may begin by 2016, the year the Canadian Government is saying it will purchase the jets. That will, of course, also be when the plane is most expensive.

I welcome any further clarifications of this that you may be able to offer. Again, apologies for any confusion I might have created in my previous post.

To watch the Hawn interview, click here.
To watch the followup with the GAO, click here.

2 comments:

  1. yup, the $75M -- or, more likely, at least $120M, when we're buying them -- is just for the barebones plane, not even incl. the engine (which is $15-M), much less the munitions, and the extensive pilot training, etc. -- which is what brought the procurement price to at least $9-B, but now -- assuming for argument's sake that the cost of those other elements stay the same ($4.125-B in total, using the govt's no's) -- more like $12B, instead of $9 -- and that's just for the procurement.

    And they're WAY more off on the ongoing maintenance costs.

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  2. Try $28 or $29 billion including long-term costs:

    http://thegallopingbeaver.blogspot.com/2011/03/useless-plane-useless-party.html

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